Vision log 1460- Prediction China doesn’t have to wait that long to secure Taiwan. One Taiwan co decides the faith of advanced AI chips. The USA cannot afford to have China own Taiwan again

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Wed, 10.29.2025

AI chips situation and why the USA cannot afford China to own Taiwan again

  • This is an excellent video. Not a lot of people clarify the role of Nvidia in term of who is designing and who's making advanced AI chips
  • So now I understand why China wants to invade Taiwan. Because TSMC Taiwan is producing 80%-90% of advanced AI chips for the Magnificent 7 stocks. . The magnificent 7 stocks which, represents a large chunk of the S&P 500.
  • There are only two companies in the world produce this advance AI chips: TSMC Taiwan and Samsung But....... the kicker is Samsung doesn't have the same skills and decades of chip making knowledge as TSMC Taiwan.
  • During Covid, Nvidia relied on Samsung for their Ai chips. Samsung didn't meet Nvidia's standard - 30% of the products were defective.
  • The US said they would rather destroy the AI machines from TSMC Taiwan if China ever invaded Taiwan because truly there is only 1 company in the world that has the decades of skills and knowledge to produce advanced AI chips like TSMC Taiwan.
  • The USA doesn't want China to control the AI chip making business as well since they are already controlling 70%-80% of global supply of the the rare earth elements, but they also are controlling the mining, reserves, processing and refining stages of production as well.

  • This picture shows that all major American companies which are responsible for the rise/fall of the S&P 500 stock market get their AI chips from ONE COMPANY TSMC Taiwan. Only this company has decades of knowledge and know how to produce advanced AI chips for Nvidia. Each of their AI machines cost about $200M. If anything happens to this company, the S&P market is screwed
  • The video said China has been building and testing 70 landing fairies to be ready to use to invade Taiwan by 2027. The distance between China and Taiwan is only 100 miles.

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Video summary

AI‑Driven Stock Surge (00:00) — The market has surged on AI, with seven “Magnificent 7” stocks driving over a third of the S&P 500, creating a fragile “house of cards” risk.

Nvidia Valuation & Growth (00:00:56‑00:02:30) — Nvidia now accounts for ~7 % of the S&P 500, valued at $4.5 trillion with a PE of ~50, fueled by massive demand for H100, B200 and other AI GPUs.

Chip Design vs Manufacturing (00:01:58‑00:02:34) — Nvidia and Apple are merely designers; actual fabrication is done by TSMC, making the intellectual‑property design model a single‑point bottleneck.

TSMC Taiwan Dependency (00:02:52‑00:04:23) — Over 80‑90 % of advanced AI chips are produced by TSMC in Taiwan, exposing the AI supply chain to geopolitical tension with China.

China‑Taiwan Geopolitical Risk (00:04:24‑00:11:58) — US intelligence warns of a possible Chinese invasion by 2027; any conflict could cut TSMC’s supply lines, halt chip output, and cripple Western tech firms.

US Chip‑Fab Expansion (00:06:55‑00:09:24) — TSMC’s Arizona plants are delayed to late 2024/2025 and 2028, face talent and equipment shortages, and will initially produce only 4 nm chips, not the cutting‑edge 3‑2 nm needed for Nvidia/Apple.

Investor Warning & Market Bubble (00:09:29‑00:12:30) — Experts caution that the AI boom’s reliance on a single fab makes it vulnerable; investors should weigh the geopolitical choke point when assessing valuations.

China and Taiwan Summary:

The guides have made several predictions in 2025 that China will get Taiwan one day. 

I hope it won't be the case. 

I rather see their predictions fail, then see China owns Taiwan again because which means China will own, control, and have the most negotiation power for: rare Earth minerals, solar panels, and now Ai chips which it will impact the stock markets, the crypto market, and 7 major US companies ranging from cell phone, to computer, to spaceship, and other things that are currently using AI chips.

China will get Taiwan one day prediction posted on 4.14.2025

  1. Uncertain need verification from my guides:

“Heard in my sleep China will get Taiwan with no mention of timeline”

Guides chimed in just now, “one day”

They just confirmed they will get Taiwan one day

China will cripple Taiwan during the war prediction posted on 4.15.2025

  1. They said, “China will cripple Taiwan” during the war

Guides, “if they wanted to” I have been waiting for their confirmation for hours today before I share the info. They just gave the confirmation above

China will attack prediction posted on 9.30.2025

  1. “China will attack or invade Taiwan”
  • I heard this last night while I was trying to sleep. They offered me the info; I didn’t ask them about Taiwan

Taiwan will be attacked by China prediction posted on 9.30.2025

  1. "Taiwan will be attacked by China, we just don't know the date nor the timeline as we cannot pinpoint it. China will attack Taiwan is like a done deal. It's something China has been wanting to do for a long time. They're waiting for the right timing to do it. They want that land and resources for themselves. They have never let go of that plan. Pray for Taiwan and its people. All they want is to live in peace in their little island and not to be bothered by China and the CCP"
  2. "Taiwan doesn't have the resources or enough resources to combat China heads on. They need help from the USA or other nations if China attacks them. Their military is not as strong as China as they have not aggressively preparing their military like China has been doing for decades"
  3. "China needs to be contained. If they can do what they want, their ambition will grow"
  • Same thing with Russia and the USA. Why are we talking about politics, guides? lol Let's get back to crypto lol

No doubt China will get Taiwan prediction posted on 10.24.2025

  1. Guides, “no doubt China will get Taiwan one day”

China doesn’t have to wait that long prediction posted on 10.24.2025

  1. “China doesn’t have to wait that long to secure Taiwan. It could happen sooner than 2040”
  • This is guides's responded to this video below where they predicted China will invade Taiwan by 2040





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